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08/29/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Identity is an important thing in the NFL.
Supporters of the Denver Broncos, some of the most loyal, passionate and vocal in the league, certainly know who they are as a fan base. But do they, or does anyone else for that matter, know what this team is?
The Broncos and their followers hope the identity that the Broncos carved out over the final 10 games of 2009, as a group of choke artists who completely squandered the equity of a 6-0 start by going 2-8 with an anchor the rest of the way, doesn't follow them into 2010.
The hope in Denver is that quarterback Kyle Orton, who had moments of brilliance but was also criticized for a seeming aversion to taking chances, can emerge as a real leader. The selection of Florida star Tim Tebow would seem to undermine Orton's ability to take those reins, though Orton was given a contract extension during the preseason meant to establish his importance within the team hierarchy.
Of course, fans won't care a lot about the locker room power structure when Orton looks lousy in a game, they'll just want the high-profile rookie to get his chance. Those same fans are going to want Denver's other first-round rookie, big wideout Demaryius Thomas, to justify the position in which he was selected. Early reviews of Thomas, who was bothered by a foot problem in the preseason, have suggested he's not as close to being a game-ready NFL receiver as the man the Cowboys selected moments after Thomas was taken, Oklahoma State's Dez Bryant.
Not exactly a good sign for a team that has to replace Brandon Marshall's three consecutive 100-catch, 1,000-yard seasons.
So maybe the Broncos will re-invent themselves as a running team, you say? Good idea, but Knowshon Moreno (hamstring), Correll Buckhalter (back) and preseason pickup LenDale White (ankle) were all mostly spectators during the warm-up period and might not be able to carry the offensive load right away.
Maybe the defense can keep Denver in some games, as it did during that surprising 6-0 start a year ago?
Well, the Broncos beefed up the defensive line in the offseason with an eye toward doing just that, but 2009 NFL sack leader Elvis Dumervil was lost, possibly for the season, with a torn pectoral muscle suffered in the first week of training camp.
The injuries on both sides of the ball only enhance the uncertainty surrounding who is going to step forward for the 2010 version of the Denver Broncos. Who are they? Even McDaniels isn't sure at this stage, though the 34- year-old head coach thinks the adjustments the team made in the offseason will offer a step toward the Broncos being identified simply as a good team.
Said McDaniels earlier this month, "We added depth in the defensive line, did the same thing in the secondary, we were aggressive in terms of receivers - brought in a couple guys in the draft, re-signed [wideout] Brandon Lloyd. Same thing on the offensive line, so there really wasn't a spot that we didn't try to address in terms of adding competition, because we just thought that would make our players better."
Below we take a capsule look at the 2010 edition of the Broncos, with a personnel evaluation and prognosis included therein:
2009 RECORD: 8-8 (2nd, AFC West)
LAST PLAYOFF APPEARANCE: 2005, lost to Pittsburgh, 34-17 in AFC Championship
COACH (RECORD): Josh McDaniels (8-8 in one season with Broncos, 8-8 overall)
OFFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Mike McCoy
DEFENSIVE COORDINATOR: Don Martindale
OFFENSIVE STAR: Kyle Orton, QB (3802 passing yards, 21 TD, 12 INT)
DEFENSIVE STAR: Brian Dawkins, S (116 tackles, 2 INT)
OFFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 18th rushing, 13th passing, 20th scoring
DEFENSIVE TEAM RANKS: 26th rushing, 3rd passing, t12th scoring
KEY ADDITIONS: QB Tim Tebow (1st Round, Florida), QB Brady Quinn (from Browns), RB LenDale White (from Titans), RB Justin Fargas (from Raiders), WR Demaryius Thomas (1st Round, Georgia Tech), WR Eric Decker (3rd Round, Minnesota), OL Zane Beadles (2nd Round, Utah), C J.D. Walton (3rd Round, Baylor), DE Jarvis Green (from Patriots), DT Justin Bannan (from Ravens), NT Jamal Williams (from Chargers), DE/OLB Jason Hunter (from Lions), CB Nathan Jones (from Dolphins)
KEY DEPARTURES: QB Chris Simms (to Titans), RB LaMont Jordan (released), FB Peyton Hillis (to Browns), WR Brandon Marshall (to Dolphins), TE Tony Scheffler (to Lions), T Brandon Gorin (not tendered), G Ben Hamilton (to Seahawks), C Casey Wiegmann (to Chiefs), OL Tyler Polumbus (to Lions), DE Vonnie Holliday (to Redskins), DE Kenny Peterson (released), LB Andra Davis (to Bills), CB Ty Law (not tendered), S Vernon Fox (not tendered), P Mitch Berger (not tendered)
QB: Orton certainly had his moments in 2009, looking much more like a leader than predecessor Jay Cutler and also showing a fairly consistent ability to avoid the big turnover. But Orton also provided surprisingly few big plays for a guy who finished with 3,800-plus yards, and the Broncos' decision to draft Tebow and deal for Brady Quinn (1339 passing yards, 8 TD, 7 INT with Cleveland) spoke volumes about their lack of confidence in the ex-Purdue star. Quinn, who is 3-9 as an NFL starter, has looked awful in the preseason and is not a threat to do anything but back up at best. But Tebow, once he can learn an NFL offense and work through his mechanical issues, looks like the future of the franchise at the position. Tebow can't run as much as he did in college (his nagging injuries in the preseason should herald as much), though his athleticism and football instincts should serve him well at the NFL level. Look for McDaniels to find a way to get him on the field as a rookie, if only to make opposing defensive coordinators take notice.
RB: McDaniels took a page out of the Bill Belichick handbook last year when he used a first-round pick on the promising Moreno (947 rushing yards, 28 receptions, 9 TD), then put him a platoon with the well-worn Correll Buckhalter (642 rushing yards, 1 TD, 31 receptions) and undermined the rookie completely. In a vacuum, McDaniels wasn't totally wrong, since Buckhalter was more effective (5.4 yards per carry compared to 3.8 for Moreno) and a lot tougher than Moreno. The idea was for the duo to split carries again this year, though both were hurt in the preseason and it's hard to predict what either will be able to contribute by Week 1. The same goes for the Denver native White (222 rushing yards, 2 TD with Titans), who played his way out of Tennessee and fell flat in a brief tenure with his college coach Pete Carroll in Seattle. The healthiest backs on the team during the preseason were ex-Colt Lance Ball, former Bills practice squadder Bruce Hall, and former Raider Justin Fargas (491 rushing yards, 3 TD, 17 receptions with Oakland). Whether or not any of the three stick will depend on the health above them on the depth chart. Spencer Larsen is back to man the fullback position.
WR/TE: Though he put up amazing numbers and had electrifying moments, Broncos fans will likely remember the tenure of Brandon Marshall in Denver as a missed opportunity, defined more by his off-the-field troubles and petulance toward the organization than by his efforts on the field. That said, Marshall's popularity should increase in Denver when fans watch a group of wideouts that seems to lack a No. 1. Eddie Royal (37 receptions), Jabar Gaffney (54 receptions, 2 TD), Brandon Lloyd (8 receptions) and Brandon Stokley (19 receptions, 4 TD) are all capable players, but it's hard to envision any approaching 100 catches. Thomas is promising but is so far behind at this point that not much can be expected of him in 2010. The other rookie, third- rounder Eric Decker, is more polished at this stage than Thomas and could contribute. When the team uses tight ends, look for Daniel Graham (28 receptions, 1 TD) to be the pass-catcher and Richard Quinn the main blocker. Marques Branson, a 2009 practice-squadder, could stick around as a third tight end and special teams player.
OL: Like most areas of this team, injuries are casting a pall over the development of the offensive line. Pro Bowl left tackle Ryan Clady tore his patellar tendon playing basketball in April, and his availability for Week 1 is in major doubt. Journeyman D'Anthony Batiste, who has four NFL starts on his resume' looks like he'll start if Clady isn't ready. At left guard, second-round rookie Zane Beadles (Utah) and virtual unknown Stanley Daniels were battling for a job during the preseason. Another rookie, J.D. Walton (Baylor) looks like he'll beat out veteran Russ Hochstein at center. The right side will have a more familiar look, with guard Chris Kuper and tackle Ryan Harris both back in place there. Seth Olsen, a 2009 fourth-rounder, is a candidate to provide depth.
DL: The Broncos' turnstile-like run defense, which almost single-handedly made stars of guys like Jamaal Charles down the stretch last season, prompted a necessary overhaul of the three-man front in the offseason. At the center of the group will now be nose tackle Jamal Williams, a once-elite presence with the Chargers who has not been the same player recently due to injuries and advancing age. The Broncos are banking on a renaissance from the 34-year-old Williams, and are also hoping that lunch-pail-type ends Jarvis Green (35 tackles, 1 sack with New England) and Justin Bannan (35 tackles with Baltimore) can feed off the probable attention paid to Williams. Ryan McBean (26 tackles) and Ronald Fields (38 tackles), a couple of starters in 2009, should also continue to be a part of the d-line rotation. LeKevin Smith (10 tackles, 1 sack).and Marcus Thomas (15 tackles), two reserve holdovers, look to be on the bubble based on the new blood at the position.
LB: The loss of Dumervil, who had been rewarded with a rich new contract based on a dominant 2009 days before suffering his injury, could be crippling for a team with no other proven pass rushers. The Week 1 starters will likely be 2009 first-rounder Robert Ayers (18 tackles), a solid player but not necessarily a scary one coming off the edge, and Jarvis Moss, another ex-first rounder who has looked to have one foot off the roster at multiple points in his career. Moss has one start and 3.5 sacks in three NFL seasons, and there should be little doubt that he's down to his last chance. Former Lions starter Jason Hunter (34 tackles, 5 sacks with Lions) and ex-Seahawk Baraka Atkins are other possibilities coming off the edge. Things look a bit rosier on the inside, where D.J. Williams (121 tackles, 3.5 sacks) has long been a tackling machine and running mate Mario Haggan (57 tackles) is versatile and underrated. Haggan's play in the preseason made former Dolphins, Cowboys and Jaguars starter Akin Ayodele expendable. Holdover Wesley Woodyard (37 tackles, 1 INT) and Eagles castoff Joe Mays (5 tackles with Philadelphia) are backups on the inside who will see most of their work on special teams.
DB: If there is an area of this team that should not give McDaniels and coordinator Don Martindale sleepless nights, it's the veteran secondary. Cornerbacks Champ Bailey (72 tackles, 3 INT) and Andre' Goodman (43 tackles, 5 INT) make nothing easy for opposing quarterbacks and receivers, and safeties Brian Dawkins and Renaldo Hill (59 tackles, 2 sacks, 2 INT) are rock-solid as well. All four are over the age of 30 (Dawkins turns 37 in October), but that's probably not scary to McDaniels, who won Super Bowls with a significant number of veteran defenders in New England. There is decent depth here as well, with serviceable ex-Dolphin Nate Jones (39 tackles, 2 INT, 1 sack with Miami) and 2009 second-rounder Alphonso Smith (12 tackles) factoring into the equation at corner, and Darcel McBath (17 tackles, 2 INT) back to serve as a backup at safety.
SPECIAL TEAMS: The Broncos finally look comfortable with kicker Matt Prater (30-35 FG), who had the most consistent year of his NFL career last season in terms of both field goals and kickoffs. There will be a change at punter, however, as Britton Colquitt is slated to take over for veteran stop-gap Mitch Berger. Colquitt's brother Dustin punts for the Chiefs, and his father Craig was the Steelers' punter during the end of their glory years. Eddie Royal (11.2 punt return avg., 1 TD, 23.9 kickoff return avg., 1 TD) is among the league's most dangerous return men, and if his responsibilities at wideout get to be too much, the team could give a shot to fifth-round corner Perrish Cox (Oklahoma State) at some point. Long snapper Lonie Paxton begins his second year with the team.
PROGNOSIS: Many were questioning the moves made by Josh McDaniels at this time last year, then the Broncos promptly went 6-0 out of the box and the McDaniels detractors were silenced. By the end of the season, they were questioning his abilities again, and that buzz hasn't subsided with some of the debatable moves the team made during the offseason. Maybe McDaniels will shut us all up again, but if Denver is to compete in the AFC West, health is going to be a key. If Clady, Moreno and (to an extent) the rookie Thomas can't contribute early in the year, a slow start looks like a real possibility. The effect Dumervil's absence will have on the defense bears watching as well, as teams that can't generate a pass rush are usually road kill in today's NFL. Maybe things will begin to look up, but right now, it's hard to envision that run of postseason misses ending at four straight seasons.
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Istanbul, Turkey (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Kevin Durant poured in 22 points, as the
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Rudy Gay added 16 points for the
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Pace, who won for the third time this season on the Ladies European Tour,
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reportedly has a broken foot and will be out of action for about six weeks.
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suffere
<< Detroit hands ball to Porcello in finale at Toronto
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Detroit Tigers and Toronto Blue Jays close out a four-
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Ten-man Bolton battles back to earn draw >>
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Birmingham's Roge
Royals place P Texeira on DL >>
Cleveland, OH (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Kansas City Royals have placed reliever
Kanekoa Texeira on the 15-day disabled list with a right elbow strain.
The move is retroactive to Saturday.
Texeira is 1-0 with a 4.64 earned run average in 27
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Herrmann's brace helps Monchengladbach down Leverkusen >>
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The NFL preseason is approaching. Time for players, coaches and teams to turn over a new leaf. General managers have hired some new coaches, while coaches have added some offensive and defensive assistants to try and improve things. Here’s a look at some changes to look for in the preseason.
New York Jets: The Jets were one of the surprise teams in the NFL last season, making the playoffs under hard-driving first-year coach Eric Mangini. Mangini rebuilt the offensive line with rookies D'Brickashaw Ferguson (the No. 4 pick in the 2007 Draft) and Ohio State center (the 29th pick in the first round). This season he upgraded the defense with rookie linebacker David Harris (Michigan) while the secondary picked up a much needed top-notch corner in Pitt CB Darrelle Revis (No. 14 overall).
The Jets have added balance to the offense for QB Chad Pennington with RB Thomas Jones, essentially stolen from the Bears. He will upgrade a New York ground game that was 20th in rushing with a weak 3.5 yards per carry. They have their first true feature back since Curtis Martin. Offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer prefers ball control, like his father Marty. In preseason, behind Pennington you’ll see second-year QB Kellen Clemens and mobile newcomer QB Marques Tuiasosopo.
Jacksonville Jaguars: The heat is on Jack Del Rio in Jacksonville as the Jaguars flopped last season despite a ton of talent. Keep in mind that under Del Rio the Jaguars have been outstanding in preseason with a 12-4 SU, 11-5 ATS August mark. online football betting Their defense is loaded, it’s the offense that has been stuck in first gear the last few years.
Enter a new offensive coordinator in Dirk Koetter, the former Boise State and Arizona State pass-happy coach. He will try and upgrade a passing game that ranked 24th last season. Del Rio has criticized wide receivers and Matt Jones this summer, both of whom have battled injuries. It will be interesting to watch the “new” Jaguars passing game in preseason.
Arizona Cardinals: Word out of Arizona is that the players like new coach Ken Whisenhunt, who was the Steelers offensive coordinator last year. We think of Arizona as all-passing because their running game has been awful of late because of a poor offensive line. However, keep an eye on the running game in preseason as they’ve made a lot of changes.
The new coach brings in Russ Grimm to coach the offensive line (Grimm did a marvelous job building the Steelers line). They took Penn State OT Levi Jones in the first round and signed two offensive linemen, Mike Gandy and Al Johnson, to provide depth. Reggie Wells was moved from right tackle to left guard and they want more speed out of the offensive line for pulling and traps, a Pittsburgh staple under Bill Cowher.
Atlanta Falcons: While all the attention has been focused on QB Mike Vick’s off-field problems, new coach Bobby Petrino is revamping the Falcons from an all-running team to a more balanced one. Petrino likes the experience of backup QB Joey Harrington and he has veteran backup Chris Redman, who used to play for Petrino at Louisville and knows his offenses better than anyone. Petrino wants Vick to be more of a pocket passer.
The addition of FB Ovie Mughelli is a sign Petrino wants a power rushing attack behind a physical fullback and newcomer WR Joe Horn should upgrade what was a below average wideout corps. Petrino is changing their old zone-blocking scheme to a more traditional in-line blocking scheme and the offensive line is bigger. Rookie DE Jamaal Anderson was grabbed in the first round and the secondary got younger with former Auburn cornerback David Irons, who the Falcons think was a steal as a sixth-round pick.
Cleveland Browns: The 2007 Browns look like a double-edged sword. There was the excitement of the offseason, trading for RB Jamel Lewis, upgrading the offensive line with Wisconsin’s Joe Thomas (the No. 2 pick in the draft) and free agent LG Eric Steinbach, then trading for Notre Dame QB Brady Quinn when he fell to No. 22. GM Phil Savage and head coach Romeo Crennel feel they have a talented, balanced offense with these new pieces, plus TE >Kellen Winslow and WR Braylon Edwards.
However, were these moves made in desperation? And were they foolish ones? The Browns gave up their 2008 first-round pick for Quinn and we all know QBs take time to develop. And even first-round QBs can be busts (Joey Harrington, Akili Smith). We also don’t know if the offensive line is that much improved (31st in rushing in 2007) and they did nothing to improve a defense that was awful against the run (142 yds pg allowed).
The Browns have a new offensive coordinator in Rob Chudzinski. This is a young offense and Quinn looked tentative, indecisive and inaccurate early in camp. Crennel will play Charlie Frye, Quinn and Derek Anderson in preseason. And there is a mixed bag for rookie QBs receiving significant starts: Tim Couch (14), Kerry Collins (13), Ben Roethlisberger (13), Vince Young (13), Joey Harrington (12), Matt Leinart (11) and Kyle Boller (nine). While all the focus will be on the Browns new-look offense, I’m more concerned with the defense.
Carolina Panthers: Coach Jon Fox loves the ground game, but Carolina has made some interesting changes for 2007. Fox fired offensive coordinator Dan Henning and brings in Jeff Davidson to run the offense. Davidson has brought in zone-blocking schemes to the Panther offense, a dramatic change for a system that's been built around a power-running style.
In zone-blocking, offensive linemen are responsible for blocking any defender who appears in their zone, instead of focusing on one defender. The Broncos and Falcons have had success with the system, which features smaller, more athletic offensive linemen and can create running lanes on the inside and outside. Keep an eye in preseason on how Carolina adjusts as it will take time to learn the system. Fox has been one of the top coaches in preseason, with a 15-5 SU, 12-7-1 ATS August record.
Dallas Cowboys: WR Terrell Owens is still here, but QB Drew Bledsoe and Bill Parcells are gone. New head coach Wade Phillips takes over, replacing Parcells. He ran the Chargers defense last season. Phillips was chosen by teary-eyed owner Jerry Jones partly because he is one of the best 3-4 coaches in football and the Cowboys have loaded up on players for that scheme.
Remember that Phillips was blitz-happy with the Chargers last season and early reports out of the Dallas camp have mentioned how the Cowboys have been blitzing a lot, a departure from Parcells. The theme of the 2007 Dallas defense appears to be one of attack.
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Ten years ago, at just about this time, I called Alan Boston in Vegas and left him a voicemail that went something like this (abridged version): "Hey Alan, Chad Millman from ESPN The Magazine calling. I want to do a book about wise guys, you in?"
A couple weeks later I got a message back (abridged version): "I don't know, maybe," Boston said. "Call me and we'll talk about it. But not later today. I got $1,000 on Andre Agassi to win the French Open at 40-1, and he's in the finals."
Here's what happened next (abridged version): Agassi won his tourney. Boston won his $40,000. I wrote sportsbook.
In the ten years since, how much has been wagered on the big-time tennis events? Put it this way: The Nevada Gaming Commission doesn't even track the number year by year because it's so small.
"Tennis makes up about one-tenth of one percent of our take," says Lucky's bookmaking boss Jimmy Vaccaro. "The last big golf major we probably had $100,000 worth of bets. In tennis, we might have written two big tickets."
Tennis' lack of popularity amongst the American bettoratti is no surprise, really. For starters, the biggest sports betting holidays -- the Super Bowl, the NCAA tourney -- are must see TV. People, at least the degenerates I know, plan vacations around watching those events in Vegas sports books.
But Wimbledon? Doesn't exactly reel in the whales. "Seriously, it's the nuts as an event," says Boston. "But who even knows when it's on?"
Here's another reason that helps explain why golf gets traction, something I call "The Bubbe Theory." My Bubbe is pushing 95 and has cataracts so bad that, to her, even the most crystalline Chicago day is mostly cloudy. But she still listens to the Cubs games, and she still calls me in a fit if she disagrees with something Rick Telander writes in the Chicago Sun Times. She's a sports fan. If she doesn't know you, you're just filling a niche. And niche players, even historically good ones like Roger and Raf, don't drive betting volume. Only the highest profile names attract square money, which inflates wagering totals like a shot of saline to the lips. Bubbe, and the public, loved Agassi, tennis' last cross-the-rubicon, mainstream draw. She also has a crush on Tiger. She's given me standing orders to put a sawbuck on the big cat whenever I walk through a sports book (or mistakenly tap into one via my Internet machine.) That explains why the Masters is getting $100K in action at some books while the four tennis majors might not get that combined this year.
This isn't a case of tennis being a difficult sport to bet. In fact, in Europe, it's probably the second most popular sport for gambling after soccer. Granted, as the WSJ football betting last week and The Mag's Shaun Assael examined in even greater depth last year, that might be because gamblers across the pond see it as an easy game to fix. But it could also be because, over there it holds the kind of sway the big two do over here.
Street corners in Spain are peppered with public courts and kids doing their best Raffy impressions. In some war torn parts of Eastern Europe poverty-stricken kids view tennis as an escape route, like football or basketball here. A couple years ago The Mag's Lindsay Berra wrote a great piece about Belgrade's Jelena Jankovic, Ana Ivanovic and Novak Djokovic. They learned the game as kids while bombs were raining down on their homeland. They practiced in drained swimming pools. Not exactly Nick Bolletierri conditions.
In the United States, casual fans think tennis is played four times a year. But on the tightly packed European continent, national interest in homegrown talent runs deep every weekend. Of the ATP's current top 20 players, only two, tennis betting and James Blake, are American. Fourteen are from Europe, representing six different countries.
No wonder fans from Lisbon to Bhudapest get jacked up for the net game, whether it's Wimbledon or a low-level tourney like the Estoril Open in Portugal (congrats to Spain's Albert Montanes for winning that one, btw). Chances are good that someone representing their flag will not only be playing, but have a shot at winning.
And that's all any bettor can ask for.
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